MAFL 2012 : Team Dashboard for Round 6

The latest Team Dashboard is below.

I know we have some new visitors to MAFL this year, so I thought I should provide an explanation of the rightmost columns of the Scoring Shot Data section. These columns are based on some analysis I undertook to create a "win production function" for AFL, which is an equation that relates a team's scoring shot data to the number of games we'd expect they'd have won given that data. You can think of it as a way of measuring how well or how poorly a team has been "rewarded" for its scoring performance.

As it stands now, 3 teams (the Roos, Tigers and Saints) have won at least one game fewer than we'd expect given their current scoring statistics, and 1 team (Collingwood) has won one game more than we'd expect. Three other teams - Adelaide, Fremantle and West Coast - have also won more games than their statistics would suggest, though the benefit is not yet equal to a full game.

Similarly, the Gold Coast, Hawthorn, Melbourne and Port Adelaide have won fewer games than their statistics would entitle them to, though the difference is also not yet equal to a full game.

MAFL 2012 : Team Dashboard for Round 5

The latest Team Dashboard follows. Here's a factoid for each team:

• Adelaide : 3rd highest scoring shots created per game and 5th lowest scoring shots allowed, but last in terms of both own and opponents' conversion of those scoring shots
• Brisbane Lions : Sub 100 percentage for every quarter except the 3rd
• Carlton : lowest Opponent conversion rate in the league
• Collingwood : still yet to win a final term
• Essendon : percentage over 100 in every quarter
• Fremantle : 14th in 1st and 2nd quarters, 4th in 3rd and 4th quarters
• Geelong : 3rd best conversion rate in the league
• Gold Coast : yet to win a 1st quarter
• GWS : yet to win a 3rd quarter
• Hawthorn : yet to lose a 2nd quarter
• Kangaroos : 1st in scoring shot production across the league
• Melbourne : 2nd lowest scoring shot production and 3rd highest scoring shots conceded
• Port Adelaide : 3rd best in 3rd quarters
• Richmond : yet to win a 2nd term
• St Kilda : lowest scoring shots conceded per game
• Sydney : highest scoring shot conversion rate and greatest own vs opponent scoring shot conversion rate differential
• West Coast : best 1st and 3rd quarter records in the league (and 2nd best 2nd quarter performance)
• Western Bulldogs : 3rd worst 1st quarter performance in the league

MAFL 2012 : Team Dashboard for Round 4

It's still a little early to be discerning and commenting on any significant team differences, so I'll again content myself with a few parenthetic observations on this week's Team Dashboard: 

• West Coast are the first team to have scored more than 500 points for the season
• Melbourne and GWS are the first teams to have conceded 500 points
• St Kilda's scoring statistics so far this season are, according to the Win Production Function, good enough to have earned them 1.3 wins more than they've achieved
• The Roos' scoring statistics are good enough to have earned them an extra 1.1 wins
• Collingwood have not won a final term so far this season
• Geelong have not won a 3rd term 

MAFL 2012 : Team Dashboard for Round 3

The Suns won their first two quarters for the season this week, though this wasn't quite enough to secure them their first competition points at the same time. That moves them equal now with GWS and the Dogs in having won just 2 of the 12 quarters in which they've taken part.

Conversely, the Eagles have won all of their 1st, 2nd and 3rd quarters, and lost only a solitary 4th term - as it happens, to GWS last weekend, when the game was already long since decided.

Carlton, Hawthorn and Freo, at this early stage, are emerging as the competition's slow starters and big finishers, while the Swans are exhibiting the opposite behaviour. Only the Roos, the Saints and the Eagles have demonstrated an ability to perform strongly in all four quarters.

MAFL 2012 : Team Dashboard for Round 2

After only two rounds there are no such things as trends, so again my comments will be brief.

All I'll note is that there's only one team yet to lose a quarter, the Dogs, and one yet to win a quarter, the Suns.