MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 15

Though the official competition ladder will say otherwise, Collingwood now heads Geelong on the MAFL Team Dashboard by virtue of the fact that the Pies' 48 points from a possible 52 represents a higher percentage than the Cats' 52 from a possible 56.

Essendon's victory over the Cats served to reduce the gap between each team's actual winning percentage and that which might be expected based on their season-long scoring statistics. Nonetheless, Essendon are still about a win-and-a-half below what might be expected, and the Cats are about 2 wins above.

Other teams that have recorded winning percentages significantly above or below what their scoring statistics would suggest are the Lions (1 win fewer than expected), Fremantle (1.5 wins more), Gold Coast (1 win more), the Roos (1.5 wins fewer), and Richmond (almost 1 win more). Every other team is within about half a win of what their scoring statistics would suggest is to be expected.

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 14

Here 'tis:

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 13

Here's the latest MAFL Team Dashboard.

Broadly, the differences between teams' actual winning percentages and those we'd predict using the Win Prediction Function we calculated in this blog, have been shrinking. Significant discrepancies now remain only for Essendon, which has a winning rate 19% below what you'd expect (or about 2 games), the Roos (10% below), and the Lions (9% below), and, on the positive side, for Geelong (20% above), Gold Coast (12% above), Fremantle (10% above), and Sydney (8% above).

Every other team is within 1 win of what you'd expect given their scoring statistics.

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 12

Here's the Team Dashboard for Round 12.

This week I'll draw your attention to the Scoring Shot Data section, in particular the rightmost columns where I've calculated each team's actual and expected winning percentage (using the win production function from here). There you can see that, based on the relevant teams' relative scoring shot production and conversion rates:

• Four teams have won about 1 or more games fewer than would have been expected given their respective scoring statistics: Essendon (about 2 games fewer), Kangaroos (about 1.5 games), Brisbane (about 0.9 games), and the Dogs (about 0.8 games)
• Another four teams have won about 1 or more games more than would have been expected given their respective scoring statistics: Geelong (about 2 games more), Gold Coast (about 1.5 games), Sydney (about 1.1 games), and Fremantle (about 0.7 games)

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 11

Here's the latest Team Dashboard: