MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 10

This week's Team Dashboard includes a few new columns in the Scoring Shot Data section. Over in the Statistical Analyses blog I've been developing what's called a win production function, which is an equation that allows you to determine the winning percentage that a team "should" achieve on the basis of its scoring statistics. The new columns are based on this work.

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MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 9

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 8

Relative to each team's respective ladder position, here's where its dashboard metrics are anomalous: 

• Adelaide: 12th on the ladder but 5th on Own Conversion rate and 1st on Opponent Conversion rate (the problem is that its 16th on Own Scoring shots and 13th on Opponent Scoring shots). Also, 5th on final term performances.
• Brisbane Lions: 17th on the ladder but 7th on Own Conversion rate (but alas 15th on Own Scoring shot production. Also, 10th on 1st-quarter performances (though still with a sub-100 percentage for the term).
• Carlton: 3rd on the ladder but 13th on Own Conversion rate and 14th on Opponent Conversion rate (offset by being 2nd on Own Scoring shot production and 3rd on Opponent Scoring shot production). Variously 6th to 10th on quarter-by-quarter performances, with a particularly poor record in 3rd terms.
• Collingwood: 2nd on the ladder but 16th on 3rd term performances, with a sub-100 percentage for that term. However, its percentages for 2nd and 4th terms are both over 200.
• Essendon: 5th on the ladder but 11th on final terms, though still with a near 100 percentage for that term (and with a 220 percentage for 3rd terms).
• Fremantle: 8th on the ladder but 16th on both Own and Opponent Conversion. Also, 14th in final terms. 
• Geelong: 1st on the ladder but 14th on Own Conversion and only 6th on Own Scoring Shot production. Also, 8th on 1st terms.
• Gold Coast: 14th on the ladder but no better than 15th in any single term and with percentages in every term 62 or lower.
• Hawthorn: 4th on the ladder but 9th on Own Conversion rate and 11th on Opponent Conversion rate. Also, 9th on 1st term performances.
• Kangaroos: 13th on the ladder but 7th on Own Scoring shot production.
• Melbourne: 9th on the ladder but 3rd on 2nd term performances and 15th on 3rd term performances.
• Port Adelaide: 16th on the ladder but 6th on Own Conversion (wasted by being 17th on Own Scoring Shot production). Also, 7th on performances in the 3rd term.
• Richmond: 10th on the ladder but 16th on Opponent Scoring Shot production, ameliorated to some extent by being 3rd on Opponent Conversion. Also, 17th on 1st term performances and still yet to win a 1st term in any game.
• St Kilda: 15th on the ladder but 8th on Opponent Conversion . Also, 3rd on performances in the 1st term, 7th in final term performances, and 17th on 2nd term performances and yet to win a 2nd term in any game, having been outscored by more than 2-to-1 in 2nd terms so far.
• Sydney: Fairly unremarkable in all respects, save perhaps for slightly sub-par performances in the final term.
• West Coast: 7th on the ladder but 12th on both Own and Opponent Conversion, offset in particular by being 5th on Opponent Scoring Shot production. Also, 2nd on 1st term performances and 14th on 3rd term performances.
• Western Bulldogs: 11th on the ladder but 4th on Own Conversion. Also, 1st on 1st term performances (with a 225 percentage) and 5th on 3rd term performances.

 

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 7

A handful of comments on the Quarter-By-Quarter Performance section this week: 

• Three teams are undefeated for one of the quarters in all of their matches: Collingwood and Geelong in final terms, and Melbourne in 2nd terms
• Richmond have yet to win a 1st term; they've drawn only one in their seven games
• St Kilda have yet to win a 2nd term; they've drawn only one in their six games
• The Dogs, despite filling the 11th spot on the ladder (as I construct it), have the best 1st term record in the League
• Melbourne have the best 2nd term record in the League (but the 15th best for each of the terms on either side)
• Geelong have the best 3rd term record, and the Pies the best final term record in the League

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 6

Once again just a lazy solitary comment on this week's Team Dashboard: if you want to bet against the Pies, do it only for 3rd terms.