;)
Saturday, April 28, 2012 at 1:32AM We've shown previously that it's possible to predict the TAB Sportsbet Bookmaker's head-to-head prices to a high level of accuracy using only MARS Ratings, the Interstate Status of a game and information about the very recent form of the Home team.
Friday, April 27, 2012 at 11:08PM Each week, at round's end, when I comment on the Probability Predictors I find myself stuck for a unit to attach to their performance.
Saturday, April 21, 2012 at 10:42PM On Friday night, while watching the progress of the Saints v Freo game knowing that Investors has a SuperMargin wager on the Saints to win by 20-29, I was wondering how to react to the changes in the scoreline as the game progressed. Should I want the Saints to lead early? By a little? By a lot? By about 5 points at Quarter Time and 10 points at Half Time?
Thursday, April 12, 2012 at 11:28PM In an earlier blog we found that the score of the Home team carried more information about the final game margin than did the score of the Away team. One way of interpreting this fact is that, given the choice between improving your prediction of the Home team score or your prediction of the Away team score, you should opt for the former if your goal is to predict the final game margin. While that's true, it turns out that it's less true now than it once was.
Sunday, April 8, 2012 at 11:12PM The Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC) that we explored in the previous blog is not the only non-linear measure of the pairwise relationship between any two continuous variables.
