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I can be contacted via Tony.Corke@gmail.com

 

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Monday
Apr022012

Finding Non-Linear Relationships Between AFL Variables : The MINER Package

It's easy enough to determine whether or not one continuous variable has a linear relationship with another, and how strong that relationship is, by calculating the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient for the two variables. A value near +1 for this coefficient indicates a strong, positive linear relationship between the variables in question, so that high values of one tend to coincide with high values of the other, and vice versa for low values; a value near -1 indicates a strong, negative linear relationship; and a value of 0 indicates a lack of any linear relationship at all. But what if we want to assess more generally if there's a relationship between two variables, linear or otherwise, and we don't know the exact form that this relationship takes? That's the purpose for which the Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC) was created, and recently made available in an R package called MINER.

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Saturday
Mar312012

Picking the High-Scoring Game

Here's a simple question: what are the characteristics of games that tend to produce the highest aggregate scores?

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Sunday
Mar252012

Predicting the Final Margin In-Running (and Does Momentum Exist)?

Just a short post tonight while we wait for the serious footy to begin. For this blog I've again called upon the services of Formulize, this time to find for me equations that predict the final victory margin for the Home team (which might be negative or zero) purely as a function of the scores at the various quarter breaks.

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Tuesday
Mar202012

Optimising the Wager: Yet More Custom Metrics in Formulize

As the poets Galdston, Waldman & Lind penned for the songstress Vanessa Williams: "sometimes the very thing you're looking for, is the one thing you can't see" (now try to get that song out of your head for the next few hours ...)

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Saturday
Mar172012

Predictors Behaving Badly: Intransitivity Revisited

If I told you that I prefer green to blue, and blue to red, you'd probably assert that, logically, I should prefer green to red. In technical terms you'd be demanding that my colour preferences exhibit the property known as transitivity - one of the axioms of expected utility theory.

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