Search MAFLOnline
Subscribe to MAFL Online

 

Contact Me

I can be contacted via Tony.Corke@gmail.com

 

Latest Information


 

Latest Posts

Entries in LPSO (2)

Sunday
Feb242013

Are the Victory Margins for Some Games Harder to Predict than for Others?

It's unarguable that the winner of some games will be harder to predict than the winner of others. When genuine equal-favourites meet, for example, you've only a 50:50 chance of picking the winner, but you can give yourself a 90% chances of being right when a team with a 90% probability of victory meets a team with only a 10% chance. The nearer to equal-favouritism the two teams are, the more difficult the winner is to predict, and the further away we are from this situation the easier the game is to predict.

Click to read more ...

Sunday
Feb172013

Clustering Your Way To Line Betting Success

For today's blog I'll be creating a game clustering that uses as input only the information that we might reasonably know pre-game - for example, the pre-game team MARS Ratings, Bookmaker prices (or some metric derived from them), and information about the game venue.

Click to read more ...