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Entries from April 1, 2013 - April 30, 2013

Tuesday
Apr302013

2013 : MARS, Massey, Colley and ODM Ratings After Round 5

Over on the Statistical Analyses blog I've been dedicating significant blog-space - or whatever it is you want to call the online equivalent of column inches - to the MARS Ratings of teams throughout football history. In those posts the Ratings stopped at the end of last season. Now it's time to bring them up to date.

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Sunday
Apr282013

2013 : Round 5 - Results

Until late into time-on in the Lions v Dees game on Sunday afternoon I thought I'd be writing this week about our making a small profit, having extended our run of successful wagering to four weeks in a row, but then the Dees kicked successive goals at the back end of what's appropriately known as "junk time", the first turning a 1.4c profit into a breakeven result for the game, and the second consigning us to a 0.9c loss. Then in the last game of the round, the Hawks' inability to win by either of the requisite margin ranges made sure that all three Funds recorded a loss for the week. The Head-to-Head Fund dropped 0.4c, the Line Fund 1.5c, and the Margin Fund 0.3c, which translates into a 1.1c loss for the Recommended Portfolio.

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Wednesday
Apr242013

2013 : Round 5 - Wagers & Tips

It wouldn't be right if the first game ever played for VFL/AFL competition points outside Australia went unmarked by a MAFL wager, and both the Head-to-Head and Line Funds have made sure that this isn't the case.

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Sunday
Apr212013

2013 : Round 4 - Results

Like the tortoise in one of Zeno's paradoxes, Investors once again halved the distance between themselves and their Achilles: the profitability of the Recommended Portfolio. That Portfolio is now priced at 99.5c.

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Wednesday
Apr172013

2013 : Round 4 - Wagers & Tips

There are six home-team favourites this week, which is as many as we've had in a single round this season, so I suppose it's no real surprise that the Margin Fund features prominently in the week's wagers. What is a little unusual, however, is that the Margin Fund has elected to wager in all six contests.

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