MAFL 2013 : Team Dashboard for Round 22

Should Port Adelaide defeat Carlton next week and, as some are suggesting might the case, the Dons are excluded from the Finals or choose not to participate, then it's possible we'll have a team, the Brisbane Lions, playing in the Finals with a percentage below 90 and another team, the Roos, not playing despite recording a percentage during the home-and-away season above 120. 

In truth, even if they lose, Carlton would still be favoured to grab any vacated Finals berth however, as the scenario just outlined would require that the Lions draw with or defeat the Cats, which seems unlikely, especially in light of the Lions' near loss to the lowly Dogs this week after leading by over 50 points..

MAFL 2013 : Team Dashboard for Round 21

Here's the latest Team Dashboard, revealing that the competition's finalists are now all but resolved and that the makeup of the Top 4 is completely determined, if not their ordering.

MAFL 2013 : Team Dashboard for Round 20

It's been a little while since we looked at the strengths and weaknesses of each team in terms of the metrics on the MAFL Team Dashboard, so let's do that this week: 

• Adelaide, 12th on the ladder, are 17th on Own Conversion rate, but 3rd in final terms
• Brisbane, 13th on the ladder, are 18th on Own Conversion rate, but 8th on Opponent Conversion rate and in final terms 
• Carlton, 9th on the ladder, are 13th on Own Conversion rate and in final terms, but 1st on Opponent Conversion rate
• Collingwood, 5th on the ladder, are 13th on Opponent Conversion rate, but 4th on Opponent Scoring Shots per game
• Essendon, 7th on the ladder, are 11th on Opponent Conversion rate, but 4th in final terms
• Fremantle, 4th on the ladder, are 14th on Own Scoring Shots per game, but 1st on Opponent Scoring Shots per game
• Geelong, 2nd on the ladder, are 16th on Opponent Conversion rate, but 1st on 3rd Quarter performances
• Hawthorn, 1st on the ladder, are 9th on Opponent Conversion rate, but 1st on Own Scoring Shots per game
• Kangaroos, 11th on the ladder, are 11th on 3rd Quarter performances (yes, 11th is the worst ranking they have on any metric), but 1st on 1st Quarter performances and on Own Conversion rate
• Melbourne, 17th on the ladder, are 18th on Own Scoring Shots per game and on 2nd Quarter performances, but 10th on Opponent Conversion rate
• Port Adelaide, 8th on the ladder, are 15th on Opponent Conversion rate, but 1st in final terms
• Richmond, 6th on the ladder, are 14th on Own Conversion rate, but 4th on Opponent Conversion rate
• St Kilda, 16th on the ladder, are 17th on performances in final terms, but 7th on Opponent Conversion rate
• Sydney, 3rd on the ladder, are 11th on performances in final terms, but 1st on 2nd Quarter performances
• West Coast, 10th on the ladder, are 18th on Opponent Conversion rate, but 4th on Own Scoring Shots per game and in 3rd terms
• Western Bulldogs, 15th on the ladder, are 18th on performances in 1st terms, but 6th on Own Conversion rate

Having read that list, it's probably no surprise that the weakest rank correlation between competition ladder position and ranking on any single metric is for Opponent Conversion rate, for which it is only +0.18. The next-weakest correlation is with Own Conversion rate where it's +0.51.

Strongest correlations are for Opponent Scoring Shots per game (+0.93), and for performances in 2nd Quarters (+0.92). Surprisingly - to me anyway - the correlation between performances in final terms and competition ladder position is a relatively weak +0.60.

MAFL 2013 : Team Dashboard for Round 19

Here's the latest Team Dashboard, which shows Sydney and Port Adelaide as the only teams in the Top 8 with winning streaks extending beyond two games, and which shows losses for three of the teams currently in the top five ladder positions.