;)
Tuesday, June 8, 2010 at 8:49PM With services such as Betfair now offering in-running wagering opportunities, the ability to accurately assess a team's chances of victory at any given point in a game is now of considerable commercial value. Imagine, for example, that your team, who are at home, lead by 18 points at the first change. Would a wager on them at $1.40 be advised?
Friday, June 4, 2010 at 10:08PM I've been planning to create this model for a while. With it, you can calculate the probability that the home team will eventually prevail given the state of the match at a particular point in the game.
Tuesday, June 1, 2010 at 5:02PM AFL Football - as the cliche goes - is a game of four quarters. The benefit of this arrangement is that AFL scores provide twice as much information about the ebb and flow of each contest as the scores of any other form of football in this country. With the quarter-by-quarter information alone we can perform some interesting analyses for every team.
