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MAFL Primer > MAFL - The Early Years > What Was In the Newsletters from 2005 to 2008?

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Prior to the launch of the first MAFL website, MAFL content was provided to subscribers by way of an e-mailed newsletter. All the MAFL Newsletters are available for download in the MAFL - The Early Years section.

Initially, especially in 2005 and 2006, my analyses were simple, and I provide those e-mails here mainly for historical completeness. There are a handful of newsletters from 2007 and 2008, however, that contain content that's less ephemeral.  Since the site search facility doesn't pickup the content of these newsletters directly, here's a guide to the ones I think are most interesting.

General Topics and Definitions 

  • Description of head-to-head and line betting - R1 2007
  • Estimating Team Probabilities Using Head-to-Head Prices - R1 2007
  • Defining a Tipster Disagreement Index - R3 and R4 2007 
  • Why Good Tipsters Aren't Necessarily Profitable Gamblers - R6 2007
  • ChiRaS - The Chi Ranking System - R15 2007
  • Benchmarking Betting Strategies - R20.1 2007
  • Balls Sports - Approved Dimensions of the Ball - P4 2008
  • Balls Sports - How Fast Does the Ball Travel - P5 2008
  • Kicking a Football on the Moon - P5 2008
  • What's a Dutch Book? - R2 2008
  • The Surprisingness of a Result - R4.1 2008
  • Surprisingness Revisited: The Surprisal Concept - R6 2008
  • The Monash Gaussian & Probabilistic tipping competitions - R7 2008
  • Calibrating a Probabilistic Tipster - RHoF 2008
  • A Measure of Tipster Performance by Team - R19 2008
  • Multi-game Finals: An Improvement? - SF 2008

Statistics and Analyses

  • Grand Final History - R25 & R26 2007 + GF 2008
  • Dynamics of Season-to-Season Ladder Finishes - P1 2008
  • Competition points required for particular ladder finishes - P4 2008
  • (General) Irrelevance of Behinds - R12a.1 2007
  • Goal Scoring by Winning and Losing Teams - P2 2008
  • Flag & Spoon History - P2 2008
  • Competitive Balance in VFL/AFL and NRL (a Goosens variation) - P3 2008
  • Ranking Teams on Their Head-to-Head Results (Bradley-TerryMeaseBatchelder-Bersad-Simpson methods) - R9 2007
  • Not Just in Basketball Do Successful Teams Rebound - R16.1 2007
  • Favourite-Longshot Bias in TAB Sportsbet Markets - R1.1 2008
  • Relationship Between MARS Ratings After X Rounds and Ultimate Finalists - R3 2008
  • Awarding Competition Points Based on the Margin of Victory - R13.1 2008

The History and Philosophy of MAFL

  • The Story of Shadow - Phantom Dog, Professional Tipster - R1 2008
  • The Philosophy of MAFL - R1 2008
  • The MAFL MARS Ratings - R2 2008 (note that the season-to-season ratings carryover rating is shown in the green box as 740+26% x Previous Year's Rating but should be 530 + 47% x Previous Year's Rating)

Last updated on November 17, 2013 by TonyC