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I can be contacted via Tony.Corke@gmail.com

 

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Sunday
Jul082012

2012 Round 15 Results : Saints Redeemed, Line Starting to Join the Dots 

Every so often I need a round like Round 15 to maintain my belief - or preserve my delusion, you decide which - in the efficacy of a statistical approach to wagering.

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Thursday
Jul052012

2012 Round 15 - Wagers & Tips : Swans and Pies, Two For a Dozen

With one exception, Investors have wound up with the portfolio of seven Line and four SuperMargin wagers that I foreshadowed yesterday. The only difference is that, in addition to these 11 wagers, we've a tiny bet on the Saints (0.57% at $3.00) in the head-to-head market.

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Wednesday
Jul042012

2012 Round 15 - Wagers & Tips : Soon ...

I'm still waiting for the Head-to-Head and Line markets to be posted for the Hawks v Giants clash, so I'm deferring the posting of the Round 15 Wagers & Tips blog until tomorrow night.

Not, to be clear, that I expect we'll be nibbling at the Hawks head-to-head; if their opening price is $1.50 or more in that market it can only be because they've agreed to play the first quarter blind-folded. It is likely, however, that we'll be on the home-team Hawks in the Line market - certainly if they're only giving something like 99.5 start - so I've decided to wait until this market has been crystallised before I post all the details of the week's festivities.

As things stand I reckon we'll have no Head-to-Head bets, seven Line bets and four SuperMargin bets. More tomorrow.

 

Monday
Jul022012

2012 MARS, Colley, Massey and ODM Ratings After Round 14

Six teams had their MARS Ranking revised this week, none of them from the top 6 and none from the bottom 4. In every case, the re-ranking moved the team's MARS Ranking closer to its position on the competition ladder.

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Sunday
Jul012012

2012 Round 14 Results : Saints Not Favourites 

Favourites won the first eight contests of the weekend and looked set to with the ninth when the Saints led the Roos by over 3 goals at the first change late on Sunday afternoon. Even at half time, with the Saints' lead whittled to just 2 points, there were reasons for Investors to remain confident that the Saints would do enough to cover the 20.5 point spread and leave MAFL in the black for the weekend.

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