MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 14

Here 'tis:

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 13

Here's the latest MAFL Team Dashboard.

Broadly, the differences between teams' actual winning percentages and those we'd predict using the Win Prediction Function we calculated in this blog, have been shrinking. Significant discrepancies now remain only for Essendon, which has a winning rate 19% below what you'd expect (or about 2 games), the Roos (10% below), and the Lions (9% below), and, on the positive side, for Geelong (20% above), Gold Coast (12% above), Fremantle (10% above), and Sydney (8% above).

Every other team is within 1 win of what you'd expect given their scoring statistics.

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 12

Here's the Team Dashboard for Round 12.

This week I'll draw your attention to the Scoring Shot Data section, in particular the rightmost columns where I've calculated each team's actual and expected winning percentage (using the win production function from here). There you can see that, based on the relevant teams' relative scoring shot production and conversion rates:

• Four teams have won about 1 or more games fewer than would have been expected given their respective scoring statistics: Essendon (about 2 games fewer), Kangaroos (about 1.5 games), Brisbane (about 0.9 games), and the Dogs (about 0.8 games)
• Another four teams have won about 1 or more games more than would have been expected given their respective scoring statistics: Geelong (about 2 games more), Gold Coast (about 1.5 games), Sydney (about 1.1 games), and Fremantle (about 0.7 games)

MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 11

Here's the latest Team Dashboard: