Really Simple Proves Remarkably Effective

The Really Simple Margin Predictors (RSMPs), which were purpose-built for season 2013, have shown themselves to be particularly accurate at forecasting game margins. So much so, in fact, that they're currently atop the MAFL Leaderboard, ahead of the more directly Bookmaker-derived Predictors like Bookie_3 that have excelled in previous years.

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The Value of MARS Ratings Points Across Time Revisited

When last I considered the issue of the value of MARS Ratings across time I assessed their value in terms of a team's victory probability. Perhaps a more intuitive approach would be to, instead, value them in terms of a team's victory margin.

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On The Randomness of Final AFL Scores

You'd be forgiven for assuming that the last digit of a team's final score in an AFL contest was essentially random - in other words that it was as likely to be a 0 as a 1, a 4 or a 9.

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