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Monday
Aug192013

Simulating the Finalists for 2013 : Post Round 21

The competition now partitions neatly into four groups

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Monday
Aug122013

Simulating the Finalists for 2013 : Post Round 20

As would, I'm sure, be obvious to most AFL followers, Round 20 results significantly reduced the Finals chances of Carlton and enhanced those of Port Adelaide, but the latest round of MAFL simulations allow us to quantify by how much team chances altered.

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Monday
Aug052013

Simulating the Finalists for 2013 : Post Round 19

Round 19 had a lot to say about which teams would finish where in season 2013.

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Monday
Jul292013

The 2013 Imbalanced Draw: Who's Sorry Now?

Before 2013 started I made an assessment of how kind the 2013 Draw had been to each team. For today's blog I'm going to reassess those impacts for each team, taking into account where they find themselves now on the competition ladder, what we now know about the relative strengths of each team, and what we know about the teams they've avoided playing twice.

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Monday
Jul292013

Simulating the Finalists for 2013 : Post Round 18

As we'd expect, the results of last weekend have narrowed the possible ladder position finishes for those teams that still had possibilities to narrow, leaving the bulk of the uncertainty about which teams will finish 9th through 13th - a topic of interest surely only to a quite narrow subset of the footballing community.

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