Simulating the Finalists for 2013 : Post Round 21
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The competition now partitions neatly into four groups
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The competition now partitions neatly into four groups
As would, I'm sure, be obvious to most AFL followers, Round 20 results significantly reduced the Finals chances of Carlton and enhanced those of Port Adelaide, but the latest round of MAFL simulations allow us to quantify by how much team chances altered.
Round 19 had a lot to say about which teams would finish where in season 2013.
Before 2013 started I made an assessment of how kind the 2013 Draw had been to each team. For today's blog I'm going to reassess those impacts for each team, taking into account where they find themselves now on the competition ladder, what we now know about the relative strengths of each team, and what we know about the teams they've avoided playing twice.
As we'd expect, the results of last weekend have narrowed the possible ladder position finishes for those teams that still had possibilities to narrow, leaving the bulk of the uncertainty about which teams will finish 9th through 13th - a topic of interest surely only to a quite narrow subset of the footballing community.