;)
Tuesday, August 23, 2011 at 8:57PM Last weekend's results had relatively little bearing on the simulated final ladder positions for the teams at the top and bottom of the table, but they had significant effects on the relative chances for a handful of teams in making the top 4 or top 8.
Monday, August 15, 2011 at 9:38PM Perhaps the most startling conclusion from the latest round of simulations is that the Swans, despite losing last week, saw their chances of finishing in the top 8 enhanced. This was largely due to losses for Freo and the Dees that all but ended their hopes of playing in September (and certainly in October, if that ever was a real possibility).
Tuesday, August 9, 2011 at 10:05PM Round 20 margins went pretty much as the PPR Model predicted - its Mean Absolute Prediction Error was a very creditable 30.3 points per game which would have ranked it second amongst MAFL's Margin Predictors - so there's little change in its predictions for the remainder of the home-and-away season.
Thursday, August 4, 2011 at 11:04PM Over on the Statistical Analysis blog, the Projection Pursuit Regression algorithm has won the right to be used as the Official Margin Predictor for Simulation Purposes for the remainder of the season.
